2024 and 2025 Housing Market Forecasts: Australia's Future Home Costs

A current report by Domain forecasts that realty rates in various areas of the country, especially in Perth, Adelaide, Brisbane, and Sydney, are anticipated to see substantial increases in the upcoming monetary

Home prices in the major cities are anticipated to rise in between 4 and 7 percent, with unit to increase by 3 to 5 percent.

By the end of the 2025 financial year, the mean home price will have exceeded $1.7 million in Sydney and $800,000 in Perth, according to the Domain Projection Report. Adelaide and Brisbane will be on the cusp of breaking the $1 million typical house cost, if they have not already hit 7 figures.

The Gold Coast real estate market will likewise soar to new records, with costs anticipated to rise by 3 to 6 per cent, while the Sunlight Coast is set for a 2 to 5 per cent increase.
Domain chief of economics and research study Dr Nicola Powell stated the projection rate of growth was modest in a lot of cities compared to rate movements in a "strong growth".
" Costs are still increasing but not as quick as what we saw in the past financial year," she said.

Perth and Adelaide are the exceptions. "Adelaide has actually resembled a steam train-- you can't stop it," she said. "And Perth just hasn't decreased."

Rental rates for apartments are expected to increase in the next year, reaching all-time highs in Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, the Gold Coast, and the Sunshine Coast.

Regional units are slated for an overall price increase of 3 to 5 per cent, which "says a lot about cost in regards to purchasers being guided towards more affordable property types", Powell said.
Melbourne's property market remains an outlier, with expected moderate annual growth of up to 2 per cent for houses. This will leave the median house price at between $1.03 million and $1.05 million, marking the slowest and most inconsistent recovery in the city's history.

The Melbourne housing market experienced an extended depression from 2022 to 2023, with the typical home cost visiting 6.3% - a significant $69,209 decrease - over a duration of 5 successive quarters. According to Powell, even with an optimistic 2% growth projection, the city's home rates will just manage to recoup about half of their losses.
Home costs in Canberra are expected to continue recovering, with a projected moderate development ranging from 0 to 4 percent.

"According to Powell, the capital city continues to face challenges in attaining a steady rebound and is expected to experience a prolonged and slow rate of progress."

The forecast of impending cost hikes spells problem for prospective homebuyers having a hard time to scrape together a down payment.

"It indicates various things for different types of buyers," Powell said. "If you're an existing resident, rates are expected to increase so there is that component that the longer you leave it, the more equity you might have. Whereas if you're a first-home buyer, it may imply you need to conserve more."

Australia's housing market stays under considerable strain as families continue to face cost and serviceability limitations amidst the cost-of-living crisis, heightened by continual high rate of interest.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept the main cash rate at a decade-high of 4.35 percent because late in 2015.

The shortage of new real estate supply will continue to be the main motorist of residential or commercial property rates in the short term, the Domain report stated. For years, real estate supply has been constrained by shortage of land, weak building approvals and high building expenses.

In rather favorable news for prospective purchasers, the stage 3 tax cuts will provide more money to homes, raising borrowing capacity and, therefore, purchasing power throughout the country.

Powell stated this might further reinforce Australia's real estate market, however may be offset by a decrease in real wages, as living expenses rise faster than salaries.

"If wage development remains at its present level we will continue to see extended price and dampened demand," she stated.

Throughout rural and outlying areas of Australia, the value of homes and houses is expected to increase at a constant rate over the coming year, with the forecast differing from one state to another.

"At the same time, a growing population propped up by strong migration continues to be the wind in the sail of home rate growth," Powell said.

The existing overhaul of the migration system might cause a drop in need for regional real estate, with the introduction of a new stream of experienced visas to eliminate the incentive for migrants to live in a regional area for two to three years on going into the country.
This will indicate that "an even higher percentage of migrants will flock to cities looking for much better job prospects, therefore dampening demand in the regional sectors", Powell said.

According to her, distant regions adjacent to urban centers would retain their appeal for people who can no longer manage to reside in the city, and would likely experience a surge in popularity as a result.

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